The odds of being born - Lottoland 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. I hope you use your chance well. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. The Probability of You Existing at All Is Unbelievably Low Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Are you a miracle? On the probability of being born | Dr. Ali Binazir But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? I would not exist if my parents had not existed and then met. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. dr ali binazir odds of being born - c-vineretirement.com Part of HuffPost Wellness. Are You a Miracle? what are the chances of being born in america Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Want to Read. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. In its Final Data report of U.S. deaths for 2010, the CDC reported assault (homicide) dropped off of the list of the 15 leading causes of death, becoming 16th, following pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.. Dr. Ali Binazir | TheCarolinaCowboy Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. Dr. Ali Binazir - Author - San Francisco, CA | YourTango Experts So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. 7 distinct works Similar authors. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. Which ones bigger? So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. dr ali binazir odds of being born - sindicaturarosarito.gob.mx Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. Same to all of us. To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. Thats just the observable Universe; we havent the faintest idea what is beyond what we can detect with our instruments. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. You get the volume of planet Earth. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Now things start getting interesting. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. Then the probability of Mr. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. dr ali binazir odds of being born - manoharinternational.com This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. How fast does a laden fly fly? Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. Having said that, Monsignor Popes reflection should spur us to consider that while the Mind of God could think of a nearly infinite number of souls to create, he chose to create you and I. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. Love and the empowered woman: Dr. Ali Binazir at TEDxFiDiWomen However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. Which one's bigger? When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. Now things start getting interesting. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. Also follow me on Instagram @RecovHer and visit my RecovHer YouTube Channel for more sober tools and tips. Probability is a pure odd. Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Or is it much too early in the week, this being only Monday, for thinking about stuff like this? Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. chances of being born Archives - Happiness Engineering with Dr Ali Binazir For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. One in 2,000. (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). I think that was exactly Msgr. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). Ali Binazir | Armchair Economist Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their parents, and so on back to the beginning of human time. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). But on all probability it would. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. The odds against 26 blacks in a row are about 66 million to one against; however, previous results have absolutely no effect on subsequent ones. dr ali binazir odds of being born. I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred Me neither. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Even if they couldn't read them yet. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. On one try. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. So far, so good. Are they gross exaggerations? Are they gross exaggerations? The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? You Shouldn't Be Alive. The Odds of You Existing Are Basically | by Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. You can consider using our babies name resource to choose baby at 12 weeks old that suits your needs! Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. Has anybody ever said to you Youre one in a million? (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. A lovely day to you. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. But Im not mathy. But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. xx, Lets be social! Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. Ensure you visit this website and get the right details and names that fits your babies. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Yet here we are. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Based on the data from the CDC . It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. The odds of being born are less than the total number of atoms in the known universe! Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Your email address will not be published. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man. May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Click the image to enlarge it and check their numbers: Of course, there are poets who argue exactly the opposite: that each of us is fated to exist, that there is a plan, and that all of us are expected. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Why? whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. Something was dropped and then picked up. Are You a Miracle? On the Probability of Your Being Born But let's think about this some more. According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Scientists Calculate the Probability of Your Existence, Conclusions Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. Step 4. Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014).

How Did Christopher Byers Die, Articles D